May 12th Stake Races at Belmont Park

MAN O’ WAR STAKES, Grade I, $700,000, 4- year-old and up at 1 3/8 miles on the turf.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Postulation Jorge Vargas, Jr. Edward Graham 20/1
2 Sadler’s Joy Julien Leparoux Thomas Albertrani 3/1
3 Scholar Athlete Trevor McCarthy H. Graham Motion 20/1
4 Catcho En Die Junior Alvarado Naipaul Chatterpaul 50/1
5 Wake Forest Javier Castellano Chad Brown 6/1
6 Call Provision Jose Ortiz Chad Brown 9/2
7 Hi Happy Luis Saez Todd A. Pletcher 5/2
8 Bigger Picture Kendrick Carmouche Michael Maker 12/1
9 One Go All Go Chris Landeros Charles Dickey 6/1
10 Money Multiplier Irad Ortiz, Jr. Chad Brown 10/1

Call Provision and Sadler’s Joy need pace if either is going to capture the Man O’ Stakes. On paper there appears to be enough pace to help either fine the Winner’s Circle. Our top three picks are; Call Provision, Sadler’s Joy and One Go All Go.

PETER PAN STAKES, Grade III, $350,000, 3-year-old at 1 1/8 miles on dirt.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Core Beliefs Tyler Baze Peter Eurton 2/1
2 Zing Zang Irad Ortiz, Jr. Steve Asmussen 10/1
3 Just Whistle Joel Rosario Michael Matz 5/1
4 Blended Citizen Kyle Frey Doug O’Neill 6/1
5 High North Florent Geroux Brad Cox 4/1
6 Gotta Go Chris Landeros Ian Wilkes 15/1
7 Transistor Luis Saez Rudy Rodriguez 15/1

Core Beliefs last out was in the Santa Anita Derby. He finished third behind Justify and Bolt d’Oro.  He is the M/L favorite and most likely will be the post time favorite. Core Beliefs should control the pace and escape the late closing kicks of Just Whistle, High North and Blended Citizen. Our top three picks are: Core Beliefs, High North and Just Whistle.

 

VAGRANCY HANDICAP, Grade II, $200,000, 4-year-old and up, fillies and mares at 6 1/2 furlongs.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Sounds Delicious Jose Ortiz Linda Rice 2/1
2 Kirby’s Penny John Velazquez Wesley A. Ward 8/1
3 Chalon Paco Lopez Arnaud Delacour 5/2
4 Ascertain Javier Castellano Todd Pletcher 6/1
5 Swing and Sway David Cabrera Ron Moquett 12/1
6 Holiday Disguise Irad Ortiz, Jr Linda Rice 9/5

Holiday Disguise in 2018 has won the Biogio’s Rose on February 8th at Aqueduct, followed by Heavenly Prize on March 10th and Distaff Handicap on April 6 where she came off the pace to defeat stablemate Sounds Delicious. The Linda Rice pair are the ones to contend with in the Vagrancy Handicap. Sounds Delicious and Chalon should set the pace in the Vagrancy Handicap. Chalon captured the Primonetta Stakes, six furlongs on the dirt, on April 21 at Laurel Park. She was near the front setting the pace and the final running time was 1:09:44. Chalon has the highest Equibase Speed Figure of the field at 109. The pace will decide which of Linda Rice trained mares find the Winners’ Circle. Our top three picks are; Holiday Disguise, Sounds Delicious and Chalon.

BEAUGAY STAKES, Grade III, $200,000, 4-year-old and up, fillies and mares at 1 1/16 miles on turf.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 My Impression Jose Ortiz Claude McGaughey III 4/1
2 Inflexibility Javier Castellano Chad Brown 8/5
3 Tricky Escape Christopher DeCarlo Gerald Iverson 8/1
4 Lido Luis Saez Kiaran McLaughlin 10/1
5 Broken Bridle Trevor McCarthy Gary Capuano 20/1
6 A Raving Beauty Irad Ortiz, Jr. Chad Brown 2/1
7 Team of Teams John Velazquez James Jerkens 8/1

A Raving Beauty will be making her first appearance this year in the Beaugay Stakes. She recorded excellent morning numbers in April. We feel she will need this out to regain her 2017 form. Inflexibility has two wins at the distance and Javier Castellano should guide her to Winner’s Circle. Our top three picks are; Inflexibility, My Impression, and Tricky Escape.

RUNHAPPY STAKES, $150,000, 4-year-old and up, at 6 furlongs on dirt.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Skyler’s Scramjet Trevor McCarthy Michelle Nevin 7/5
2 Westwood John Velazquez Kiaran McLaughlin 2/1
3 King Kranz Irad Ortiz, Jr. Rudy Rodriguez 9/2
4 Great Stuff David Cohen David Jacobson 7/2
5 Always Sunshine Kendrick Carmouche Edward Allard 12/1
6 Green Gratto Rajiv Maragh Gaston Grant 20/1

Skyler’s Scramjet in 2018 record has one Handicap win the Tom Fool Handicap at Aqueduct on March 10 at six furlongs. He finished fourth in the Carter Handicap on April 7. The seven furlongs Carter Handicap appeared to be one furlong too much. The 6 furlongs distance should be more to his liking. King Kranz has showed improvement under his new trainer Rudy Rodriguez. Since moving to his new trainer move he has won two races both Optional Claiming races at Aqueduct. Westwood is 3 for 3 at 6.5 furlongs.  He should set the pace from PP 2. Great Stuff will need decent pace, appears there is plenty, to have a chance with his late closing kick running style. Our top three picks are; Westwood, Skyler’s Scramjet and Great Stuff.

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