Review of Arlington Graded Stakes for Saturday, August 11, 2018

Race 9. Secretariat Stakes, Grade I. For three-year-old at 1 ¼ miles on turf. Purse $400,000.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Real Story Jose Valdivia, Jr. Ignacio Correas, IV 20/1
2 Platinum Warrior Joel Rosario Michael Halford 10/1
3 Bandua William Buick Dermot Weld 20/1
4 Carrick John Velazquez Thomas Morley 20/1
5 Pont Du Gard Mitchell Murrill Ignacio Correas, IV 30/1
6 Ming William James Lee Joseph O’Brien 20/1
7 Captivating Moon Florent Geroux Chris Block 20/1
8 Untamed Domain Irad Ortiz, Jr. Graham Motion 5/1
9 Analyze It Jose Ortiz Chad Brown 2/1
10 Snipper Kitten Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. Michael Maker 12/1
11 Dubby Dubbie Jack Gilligan Michelle Lovell 30/1
12 Lucius Tiberius Wayne Lordan Aidan O’Brien 12/1
13 Hunting Horn Ryan L. Moore Aidan O’Brien 7/2

Analyze It in five career starts has only lost twice, both of were hard fought efforts behind Catholic Boy in the Grade III Pennine Ridge Stakes and the Grade I Belmont Derby Invitational. Analyze It dazzled in his first three career starts, which include a 6¼-length maiden special weight win at Belmont Park last October and wins in the Cecil B. DeMille at Del Mar and the Transylvania Stakes at Keeneland – both Grade III events.

Hunting Horn was third beaten 1¾ lengths in the Grade I Belmont Derby Invitational in his most recent effort which was his first race in North America. He  entered the Belmont Derby off of a 4½-length victory in the Group 3 Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot. Third time was the charm for Hunting Horn when breaking his maiden in sophomore debut at Naas on April 13 where he defeated eventual Group 1 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby winner Latrobe by a neck.

Lucius Tiberius, who makes his North American debut in the Secretariat, will be aiming for a third straight win after scoring a pair of victories in his native Ireland.  Lucius Tiberius defeated older horses in the Irish Stallion Farms EBF ‘Nasrullah’ Handicap at Leopardstown on July 12 last time out. He sat at the back of the pack in the 1¼-mile event and made a last-to-first move at the top of the stretch to win by a nose. His prior effort took place at The Curragh in the Paddy Power Onside Handicap, which he won by 2¼ lengths under Ryan Moore.

Ming (IRE) has made four career starts and won his last two, which took place in respective three and four-horse fields. In his penultimate effort, Ming bested a pair at Gowran on June 24th under a hand ride by 1¾ lengths. Last out at Navan on July 14, Ming defeated three others while sitting just off the pace under rider Billy Lee. At the top of the stretch, Ming did not need much asking from his rider and went on to score by 2½ lengths.

Platinum Warrior (IRE) will be attempting to make amends after a ninth-place finish in the Group 1 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby on June 30 behind Latrobe, who he defeated one start prior in the Group 3 Airlie Stud Gallinule Stakes. Prior to his Gallinule Stakes triumph, he was fourth in the Group 3 Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial Stakes at Leopardstown behind Hazapour, Ballydoyle’s Delano Roosevelt (IRE) and The Pentagon (IRE).

Bandua won his first two career outings, both at the Secretariat’s 1¼-mile distance. He stretched out even further for his next two starts – an eighth-place finish in the Group 1 Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby prior to being beaten only 1½ lengths when running fifth in the Kingdom Of Bahrain Vinnie Roe Stakes on July 26.

Captivating Moon has hit the board in nine of his ten career starts, which includes runner-up finishes in the Grade III American Derby at Arlington on July 7, the Grade II American Turf Stakes on May 5, and the Grade III Transylvania Stakes at Keeneland on April 6. He owns a career debut win at Arlington last summer and an allowance win over the turf at Tampa Bay Downs on February 11.

Trainer Ignacio Correas, IV will send out Grade III American Derby winner Real Story as well as Pont Du Gard who was beaten 2¼ lengths behind his stable mate when finishing fourth in the local prep for the Secretariat. Real Story will look for his third win in succession after two wire-to-wire victories on the Arlington turf, the latter of which took place in the Grade III American Derby. His only other career win came in his debut at Tampa Bay Downs last December when traveling a mile on turf.

Pont Du Gard seeks his first career stakes win in the Secretariat. He was beaten just over two lengths in Arlington’s two other tests for 3-year-olds on grass. In addition to his fourth-place finish in the American Derby, he was second behind Ezmosh in the Grade III Arlington Classic on May 26. Last July, he broke his maiden in his career debut over the grass at Arlington at long odds of 31-1.  His only other career win took place when defeating fellow Louisiana-bred in a Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots allowance race on March 9.

Sniper Kitten since breaking his maiden at second asking over the turf at Gulfstream Park on March 17, he defeated winners at Keeneland on April 27 and won the Mystic Lake Derby at Canterbury Park on June 23.

Untamed Domain is still in search of his first victory since last year’s Grade II Summer Stakes at Woodbine on September 17. He ran second behind Mendelssohn in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf at Del Mar on November 3. Last out, he was promoted to fifth in the Grade III Kent Stakes at Delaware Park after being interfered with on the far turn and again in upper stretch.

Carrick was third in the Delaware Park stakes. He broke his maiden for a $40,000 tag at Belmont Park on May 12 before winning a starter allowance race at the Elmont oval where he defeated next out winners Sentry and Not in Charge.

Dubby Dubbie finished third in the American Derby last time out. Dubby Dubbie has the most career starts under his belt in the Secretariat field with 12. Prior to his graded stakes debut in the American Derby, he either won or placed in his previous five starts, which include an allowance win at Churchill Downs over graded stakes winner Madison’s Luna.

Our Top Three Picks:

  • Analyze It
  • Hunting Horn
  • Untamed Domain

Race 10. Beverly D. Stakes, Grade I. For three-year-old fillies and mares at 1 3/16 miles on turf. Purse $600,000.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Daddys Lil Darling Brian Hernandez, Jr. Kenneth McPeek 8/1
2 Nyaleti Silvestre de Sousa Mark Johnston 15/1
3 Sistercharlie John Velazquez Chad Brown 9/5
4 Dona Brujia Jose Valdivia, Jr. Ignacio Correas, IV 6/1
5 Thais Florent Geroux Chad Brown 30/1
6 Oh So Terrible Sophie Doyle Bradley Ross 50/1
7 Fourstar Crook Irad Ortiz, Jr. Chad Brown 9/2
8 Inflexibility Joel Rosario Chad Brown 8/1
9 Athena Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 3/1

 

Two of the four runners will be hooking up for the third time this season when Sistercharlie (IRE) and Fourstar Crook contest the Beverly D. The first time the pair squared off took place at Keeneland Race Course in the Grade I Jenny Wiley Stakes on April 14, when Sistercharlie got the best of her stablemate by 2¼ lengths in her first start since a runner-up finish in the Grade I Belmont Oaks Invitational last July. Fourstar Crook turned the tables on Sistercharlie next out when she the Grade II New York Stakes by a head over the two-time Grade I winner. While Fourstar Crook was freshened following the New York Stakes, Sistercharlie has raced once since, defeating a stubborn Ultra Brat in the Grade I Diana Handicap at Saratoga Race Course on July 21.

Fourstar Crook is in search of her first Grade I win. Last season, she went on an eight-race winning streak which included her first graded victory in the Grade III Dr. James Penny Memorial Stakes as well as three-stakes wins against her New York-bred counterparts. The talented bay continues to impress in her 6-year-old campaign with a pair of Grade II victories in the Hillsborough Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs and the New York Handicap under the guidance of pilot Irad Ortiz, Jr. who has the call in the Beverly D. She will emerge from post seven and will look to become the first New York-bred to win the Beverly D.

Brown will also saddle Inflexibility and Thais (FR). Inflexibility has yet to win a graded stakes race but has secured a pair of stakes wins against fellow Ontario-bred over the lawn at Woodbine Racetrack in last year’s Wonder Where Stakes, third leg of Canada’s filly Triple Tiara, and the Carotene Stakes. She may not have the resume of her stablemates Fourstar Crook and Sistercharlie (IRE), but she has proven herself consistent at a high level having finished in the money in nine out of ten starts. In her last effort, Inflexibility set an easy pace in the Grade II Dance Smartly at Woodbine Racetrack but could not hold off stablemate Santa Monica (GB). A victory in the Beverly D. would make her the first Ontario-bred to win the event since Dancing On a Cloud won the 1987 edition.

Thaiswon the Prix des Lilas at Maisons-Laffitte last June. Since arriving to the United States, she has been stakes placed twice and won her first race in America when coming off of a six-month layoff in an allowance optional claiming event over the Belmont Park turf. She boasts a consistent lifetime record of 12-3-3-3.

Athena (IRE) is coming off a victory in the Grade I Belmont Oaks Invitational on July 7. This victory took place only six days after the 3-year-old daughter of Camelot (GB) finished third in the Group 1 Juddmonte Pretty Polly Stakes at The Curragh, where she was beaten 5½ lengths.  The Beverly D. will be the ninth start in only four months for the filly.

Returning to the Arlington turf  fresh off a victory in the Grade III Modesty Handicap is Daddys Lil Darling. She was third in the Grade II New York Handicap at Belmont Park behind Fourstar Crook and Sistercharlie before winning the Modesty. She will be in search of her second Grade I victory. Last December she rounded out her 3-year-old campaign with a win in the Grade I American Oaks at Santa Anita. She boasts the highest career bankroll in the field with $1,306,205 in earnings.

Nyaleti (IRE) is in search of her first Grade I victory. She won the Group 2 German 1,000 Guineas over the tight, undulating course at Dusseldorf on May 27 by 4¼ lengths when going a mile. Last time out, she was fourth in the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes at Newmarket behind Alpha Centauri (IRE). As a juvenile, she captured the Group 3 Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes.

Dona Bruja (ARG) finished in a dead-heat for second when beaten a half-length by Dacita in last year’s Beverly D. and seeks redemption when breaking from post four under current Arlington leading rider Jose Valdivia, Jr. She began her racing career in her native Argentina where she won the Group 1 Copa de Plata-Roberto Vasquez Mansilla-Internaciona at San Isidro in December 2016. This was her last start before joining Correas’ barn in the United States. In her American debut, she won the Grade III Old Forester Mint Julep Stakes at Churchill Downs then shipped to Arlington to take the Grade III Modesty Handicap. This season, she boasts a four-length victory in the Grade III Endeavor Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs on February 10.

Rounding out the field is Oh So Terrible who is the only Beverly D. contender with multiple wins over the surface. She has not won since defeating winners last September, but what she lacks in recent form she makes up for with a solid pedigree.

Our Top Three Picks:

  • Sistercharlie
  • Fourstar Crook
  • Athena

Race 11 . Arlington Million, Grade I. For three-year-old and up at 1 1/4 miles on turf. Purse $1,000,000.

PP Horse Jockey Trainer M/L
1 Circus Couture John Egan Jane Chapple-Hyam 30/1
2 Spring Quality Edgar Prado Graham Motion 8/1
3 Almanaar Joel Rosario Chad Brown 5/1
4 Divisidero Jevian Toledo Kelly Rubley 10/1
5 Century Dream William Buick Simon Crisford 12/1
6 Catcho En Die Jose Valdivia, Jr. Naipaul Chatterpaul 20/1
7 Twenty Four Seven Christopher Emigh Roger Brueggemann 30/1
8 Money Multiplier John Velazquez Chad Brown 6/1
9 Deauville Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 6/1
10 Robert Bruce Irad Ortiz, Jr. Chad Brown 9/2
11 Oscar Performance Jose Ortiz Brian Lynch 3/1

Circus Couture is running in his longest of the year. He is also running against the best horses he face all year. He ran third in Royal Ascot’s Royal Hunt Gold Cup on June 20th. I doubt he will be on the board.

Spring Quality in his last out he won the Grade 1 Manhattan on Belmont Stakes day. He closed from 11th to beat Sadler’s Joy. He needs a fast pace and for the pace setter to fall back into the field. He will be close to the front at the wire.

Almanaar won an Allowance Optional Claiming race at Belmont Park on June 8th. This is his second race in 2018. He likes to come from off the pace. He will be running at the top off stretch but don’t see him on the board.

Divisidero won the Arlington Handicap, Grade III, on July 7th by a half- length. He is also entered in the Fourstardave, Grade I, at Saratoga on Saturday. He most likely will run in the Fourstardave.

Century Dream will be making his first U.S. start on Saturday. In2018 he has won a stakes at Ascot, won a Group 3 at Epsom and in his next two starts finished fourth. He needs to be considered as a contender for a spot on the board.

Catcho En Die won the Stars and Stripes Stakes, Grade III. at Arlington on July 7th, by a neck going gate -to- wire. He ran in two Grade 1 with a best finish of fifth. I do not see this one on the board.

Twenty Four Seven was sixth last out in the Arlington Handicap, Grade III. He won back-to-back allowance starts going a mile over the course. I do not see this one on the board.

Money Multiplier won the Grade 2 Monmouth Stakes, Grade II, and ran second in Grade 2 United Nations, Grade II, on June 30th. He should be closing near the wire. He has a chance of being in the top four.

Deauville was third in the last two running of the Million.  He was laying fourth at the top of stretch but was out-kicked down the lane. I do not see this one on the board.

Robert Bruce was undefeated until a troubled trip in the Grade I Manhattan Handicap cost him a placing and a perfect record. A four-time group winner in his native country, he captured the Grade III Fort Marcy Stakes at Belmont Park in his North American debut on May 5 over fellow Million contender Spring Quality. He needs to be considered as a contender for a spot on the board.

Oscar Performance won Poker Stakes, Grade III, at Belmont Park on June 17th.  in track record time. Oscar Performance, victorious in last season’s Grade I Secretariat, will look to become just the fifth horse to complete the Secretariat-Million double .He is a three-time Grade I winner over the grass, Oscar Performance tops the Million field in career earnings with $1,967,632. He should be in the top three at the wire.

Our Top Picks:

  • Oscar Performance
  • Spring Quality
  • Robert Bruce

 

 

 

 

 

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